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NFL Week 11 early odds: Packers journey 9-1 ATS document into Minnesota; Bucs double-digit favorites vs. Giants


Week 10 within the NFL is sort of within the rearview mirror as we’re merely ready to see what’s going to unfold between the Los Angeles Rams and San Francisco 49ers after they go head-to-head in an NFC West duel on Monday night time. As for what we have seen up to now in Week 10, the NFL continues to maintain us on our toes with a lot of upsets. The Washington Soccer Crew was in a position to stun the Buccaneers, Miami took down Baltimore on Thursday night time and the Lions did not a lose a recreation! Nevertheless, they did not win one both as they tied the Pittsburgh Steelers. However, you all the time have to anticipate the sudden within the NFL it appears. 

Whereas we look forward to the Rams and 49ers to wrap up Week 10 with this “Monday Night time Soccer” matchup, now looks like pretty much as good of a time as to start our analysis into Week 11 and see what the opening strains are for each recreation throughout the upcoming slate. 

Week 11 early odds

(All strains from Caesars Sportsbook, all video games on Sunday until famous)

Opening line: Patriots -3.5 

This line has already jumped significantly to Patriots -6 popping out of Sunday as New England prolonged its profitable streak to 4 video games in convincing vogue towards the Browns profitable 45-7. In the meantime, the Falcons had been on the alternative finish of a blowout in Week 10 as they fell to the Cowboys, 43-3, and now personal one of many worst level differentials within the NFL at -9.4 for the season. Invoice Belichick’s staff has not solely gained 4 straight, however they’re 4-0 ATS over this run and personal an ATS+/- of +7.8 on the season, which is the most effective mark within the NFL. 

Opening line: Eagles -1

The Eagles put collectively one in every of their extra spectacular video games of the season of their Week 10 victory in Denver towards the Broncos. Not solely did they proceed to run the ball successfully (214 yards on 5.4 yards per carry), however Jalen Hurts had one in every of his higher days as a passer. He accomplished 16 of his 23 throws for 178 yards, two touchdowns and a choose. Philly will now head dwelling to face a New Orleans staff that fell to Tennessee, 23-21. One of many essential storylines because it pertains to this recreation — and doable line motion — would be the standing of operating again Alvin Kamara, who missed final week’s recreation towards the Titans. If he is in a position to swimsuit up, that actually raises the ceiling for this New Orleans offense. The Saints are additionally 4-0 ATS of their final 4 video games following a straight-up loss, whereas the Eagles are 1-5 ATS of their final six as a house favourite.  

Opening line: Dolphins -2.5

This quantity has since moved the Dolphins to a discipline objective favourite towards New York because the Mike White expertise appears to be nearing its finish. The Jets backup quarterback once more acquired the beginning in Week 10 as rookie Zach Wilson continues to get better from a knee damage and threw 4 interceptions in a blowout loss to the Payments. There was a report pregame that if White performed nicely, he might earn one other begin, however now all eyes will seemingly be again on Wilson if he is wholesome sufficient. In the meantime, the Dolphins are well-rested after taking part in on Thursday the place they shocked the Ravens en path to their third win of the season. Miami’s protection was dominant for the majority of that recreation and was in a position to apply stress on Lamar Jackson. If they create that very same vitality to MetLife Stadium, it might be one other lengthy day for whoever is beneath heart for New York. Nevertheless, Miami has struggled as a street favourite not too long ago, proudly owning a 1-5 ATS mark of their final six.  

Washington (3-6) at Panthers (5-5)

Opening line: Panthers -2.5 

It’s somewhat shocking that this quantity has bumped up Panthers -3 even after Washington was in a position to upset the Buccaneers in Week 10. After all, that would partially be as a consequence of Washington cross rusher Chase Younger struggling a critical knee damage that’s feared to have ended his season. If that is the case, Washington might be down arguably its finest defensive participant, which does give Carolina an edge. The Panthers additionally had been in a position to drop 34 factors towards a hobbled Cardinals staff throughout a recreation the place Cam Newton made his return with two touchdowns. After taking part in a restricted function in Week 10, he is anticipated to start out in Week 11. This season, Washington has not fared nicely as an underdog, going 1-5 ATS of their final six. That mentioned, Carolina has not performed a lot better as a house favourite as they personal a 1-6 ATS mark over their final seven. 

Colts (5-5) at Payments (6-3)

Opening line: Payments -6.5

One of many largest video games on the Week 11 slate might be present in Buffalo because the Payments will host the Colts. Each of those groups are preventing for playoff positioning as Buffalo clings to its lead within the AFC East, whereas Indy is trying to keep alive behind Tennessee. In Week 10, the Payments had no downside dealing with the Jets and had been in a position to bounce again properly following that shocking loss to the Jaguars. Talking of Jacksonville, Indy edged out a win over City Meyer’s staff, however not sufficient to cowl the double-digit unfold. Following an ATS loss, the Colts are 4-0 ATS of their final 4, so that they’ll be trying to maintain that streak alive as they head as much as Buffalo. 

Lions (0-8-1) at Browns (5-5)

Opening line: Browns -10

This line was trending in direction of the Browns as of Sunday morning because it ticked up a half-point to -10.5, however has since dropped to Browns -9.5 within the aftermath of Week 10. Detroit averted a loss for the primary time this season with its tie with the Pittsburgh Steelers, whereas Cleveland was blown out in its journey as much as Foxborough towards the Patriots. Not solely did the end result of those video games presumably power the road to shift, however Baker Mayfield did undergo an damage within the midst of Week 10. Whereas it does not seem critical sufficient to maintain him out of this matchup with the Lions, it will be value monitoring all through the week. Regardless of not having a win on the 12 months, Detroit is 5-4 ATS. 

49ers (3-5) at Jaguars (2-7)

Opening line: 49ers -5.5

This line seemingly will not see any important motion till after the 49ers matchup with the Rams on Monday night time. Whereas Jacksonville wasn’t in a position to win its second-straight recreation after upsetting the Payments in Week 9, they had been in a position to maintain it shut and canopy the double-digit unfold towards the Colts. That strikes them to 4-5 ATS on the season. Of their final 5 video games towards groups with a shedding document, the Jaguars have been in a position to maintain the sport shut, going 4-1 ATS. 

Texans (1-8) at Titans (8-2)

Opening line: Titans -11

This line dipped a degree to Titans -10 popping out of Sunday, however Tennessee remains to be checked out as a heavy favourite as they host Houston, who’s coming off a Week 10 bye. Tyrod Taylor would be the beginning QB for the Texans on this matchup after he returned off IR again in Week 9 in a loss to the Dolphins the place he threw three picks. In the meantime, the Titans stay because the No. 1 seed within the AC at 8-2, however proceed to lose talent place gamers after inserting Julio Jones on IR over the weekend. Regardless of that, they have been in a position to go 5-1 ATS over their final six, which matches up nicely towards a Texans squad that’s 0-4 ATS of their final 4 street video games. 

Opening line: Packers -1.5

The Packers have since moved as much as a 2.5-point favourite over the Vikings main as much as this AFC North matchup. Inexperienced Bay was in a position to shut out the Seattle Seahawks as Aaron Rodgers made his return to motion following his stint on the COVID record. Whereas the Packers could have their quarterback for this recreation, operating again Aaron Jones suffered a knee damage that seemingly forces him out of the following recreation or so. As for Minnesota, they had been in a position to go on the street and earn a seven-point win over the Chargers the place Justin Jefferson exploded for 143 yards receiving. The Packers are an NFL-best 9-1 ATS this season, however Minnesota has additionally been stable ATS as nicely proudly owning a 5-4 mark. That mentioned, the Vikings are 1-7 ATS of their final eight dwelling video games, which units Inexperienced Bay up properly to proceed their sturdy tempo.  

Ravens (6-3) at Bears (3-6)

Opening line: Ravens -6.5

Each of those golf equipment might be coming into this matchup after getting some prolonged relaxation. Chicago loved a bye in Week 10, whereas Baltimore performed on Thursday night time. The Ravens need to rebound after a surprisingly flat efficiency towards the Dolphins the place they had been largely held to only three factors for the majority of the competition. Regardless of that loss, they’re nonetheless a 6.5-point street favourite, however that hasn’t been too favorable for them as of late. Baltimore is 1-6 in its final seven as a favourite and is 0-4 ATS towards groups with a shedding document. 

Opening line: Choose

This stood as a choose’em, however has since moved to the Bengals being a 1-point street favourite within the aftermath of Las Vegas’ blowout loss to the Chiefs on Sunday night time. Cincy was on the bye in Week 10, so that they’ll have some prolonged relaxation on their facet as they give the impression of being to rebound from a tough stretch after beginning the 12 months 5-2. The Bengals had been losers of two-straight coming into the bye in video games towards the Jets and Browns. Each of those groups are 4-5 ATS on the season, however the Raiders have been actually slumping with a 2-5 ATS document over their final seven video games. In the meantime, the Bengals are 4-1 ATS of their final 5 following a loss. 

Cardinals (8-2) at Seahawks (3-6)

Opening line: Seattle -1

The Cardinals are actually a 2-point favourite on this matchup, however it’s most likely good to attend till we get official phrase on the statuses of each Kyler Murray and DeAndre Hopkins earlier than inserting a wager on this recreation. With Arizona on the bye in Week 12, it will be fascinating to see if the membership elects to carry Murray out for this recreation to additional relaxation. In the meantime, Seattle welcomed again Russell Wilson on Sunday, however the quarterback was unable to assist the offense put factors on the board as they had been shut out by the Packers at Lambeau Area. Coming into Week 11, Arizona is 7-3 ATS (tied for third-best within the NFL) whereas Seattle stands at 5-4 ATS. 

Cowboys (7-2) at Chiefs (6-4)

Opening line: Chiefs -2.5

This recreation was briefly moved to a choose’em, however has since gone again into the course of the Chiefs, who are actually a 1.5-point favourite. Kansas Metropolis lastly appeared like its previous self on Sunday night time towards the Raiders as they dropped 41 factors whereas Patrick Mahomes handed for 406 yards. After all, Okay.C. wasn’t the one staff piling up the factors as Dallas put collectively a blowout for themselves in Week 10 as they put up 43 towards the Falcons. The Cowboys have been one of many higher groups to guess on this season as they personal an 8-1 ATS document, whereas the Chiefs are 3-7 in that class. Nevertheless, if Mahomes and firm have flipped the change, that document might start to enhance dramatically. 

Steelers (5-3-1) at Chargers (5-4)

Opening line: Chargers -3.5

The Steelers and Chargers will end up subsequent Sunday’s motion as they will meet at SoFi Stadium for a prime-time head-to-head. Every of those groups need to keep throughout the playoff image within the AFC and hope to bounce again from so-so showings in Week 10. Pittsburgh tied the Lions, whereas the Chargers fell to the Vikings at dwelling. This season, the Steelers have been one of many worst bets within the NFL as they personal a 3-6 ATS mark. In the meantime, the Chargers have gone 4-1 ATS following a straight-up loss this season, so that would development favorably for them on this matchup. 

Giants (3-6) at Buccaneers (6-3), Monday

Opening line: Buccaneers -12.5

The Bucs have dipped to an 11.5-point favourite towards the Giants for Week 11, which remains to be a giant quantity particularly contemplating their no-show on Sunday towards Washington. Tampa Bay has solely been in a position to cowl 33.3% of its video games this season, whereas New York has been a good 5-4 ATS. Whereas the Buccaneers have struggled towards the unfold this season, they’ve performed nicely at Raymond James Stadium. The membership is 8-1 ATS of their final eight dwelling video games and is 5-1 ATS of their final six as a house favourite.  





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