UK coronavirus stay: 500,000 folks have had lengthy Covid for greater than yr, says ONS | Politics

Good morning. One of many greatest points worrying authorities in the intervening time is what is occurring within the NHS. It’s typically introduced as a easy query, will or is not going to the NHS be “overwhelmed”? (a binary framing for which the federal government itself is basically accountable, as a result of it made this a key criterion for Covid alert ranges), however, as we discovered on Tuesday, Boris Johnson can’t outline what the NHS being “overwhelmed” means, and that’s as a result of there isn’t a yes-or-no reply. Chris Hopson, chief government of NHS Suppliers, made this level nicely within the course a protracted thread he posted on Twitter final night time.

Chris Hopson

On single nationwide image, notably essential to watch out about language and calibration of scale of NHS strain. NHS leaders and employees working extremely exhausting to keep away from “overwhelm”, “tipping level” and “disaster” and that work must be positively acknowledged …16/24

January 5, 2022

Chris Hopson

…NHS would not simply go from a state the place it offers care to 1 the place it would not. Additionally vital proof from earlier waves of covid-19 that some sufferers gained’t come ahead in the event that they suppose the NHS is “overwhelmed”. Both as a result of they suppose they gained’t get remedy…17/24

January 5, 2022

The Hopson thread, which is nicely price studying in full, begins here.

However folks will make a judgment about how nicely the NHS is doing, and whether or not the federal government is operating it nicely, no matter whether or not or not some notional tipping level has been reached, and a report (pdf) out this morning from the Conservative-dominated Commons well being committee ought to make sobering studying for ministers. Its title is “Clearing the backlog brought on by the pandemic”, and its key message is that this may occasionally show inconceivable. It says that, partly due to Omicron, and partly due to long-term staffing issues (a specific obsession of Jeremy Hunt’s), the federal government’s plans to sort out the backlog are in jeopardy.

That is from Hunt, the previous Tory well being secretary and committee chair, summing up his committee’s findings.

The NHS faces an unquantifiable problem in tackling a backlog of instances brought on by the pandemic, with 5.8m sufferers ready for deliberate care and estimates that the determine might double by 2025.

Nevertheless, our report finds that the federal government’s restoration plans danger being thrown astray by a wholly predictable staffing disaster. The present wave of Omicron is exacerbating the issue, however we already had a severe staffing disaster, with a burnt-out workforce, 93,000 NHS vacancies and no signal of any plan to deal with this.

Removed from tackling the backlog, the NHS will have the ability to ship little greater than day after day firefighting except the federal government wakes as much as the size of the staffing disaster dealing with the NHS, and urgently develops a long-term plan to repair the problem.

I shall be focusing much more on Covid and the NHS as we speak.

And the opposite important fear for Johnson, after all, is the price of dwelling disaster. In a single day it was reported that Jacob Rees-Mogg, the chief of the Commons, wished the deliberate nationwide insurance coverage improve to be shelved. We shall be listening to from Rees-Mogg himself within the Commons later.

Right here is the agenda for the day.

9.30am: The ONS publishes its newest information on lengthy Covid.

10.10am: George Eustice, the atmosphere secretary, provides a speech to the Oxford Farming Convention.

10.30am: Jacob Rees-Mogg, the chief of the Commons, takes questions within the Commons on subsequent week’s enterprise.

11.30am: Downing Avenue holds a foyer briefing.

Round 11.30am: Liz Truss, the international secretary, makes an announcement within the Commons about Russia.

Round 12.30pm: Victoria Atkins, the House Workplace minister, makes an announcement to MPs in regards to the Afghan resettlement scheme.

2pm: The UK Well being Safety Company publishes its weekly Covid surveillance report.

I’ll overlaying UK Covid developments on this weblog as we speak, however for wider coronavirus protection, do learn our international stay weblog.

I attempt to monitor the feedback under the road (BTL) however it’s inconceivable to learn all of them. You probably have a direct query, do embrace “Andrew” in it someplace and I’m extra more likely to discover it. I do attempt to reply questions, and if they’re of normal curiosity, I’ll publish the query and reply above the road (ATL), though I can’t promise to do that for everybody.

If you wish to appeal to my consideration rapidly, it’s most likely higher to make use of Twitter. I’m on @AndrewSparrow.

Alternatively, you’ll be able to electronic mail me at

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