Previous King Coal Not Going “Mild Into That Good Evening” – ?

Visitor “Rage, rage in opposition to the dying of the sunshine” by David Middleton

Notice: Apart from Rudyard Kipling, I don’t like poetry, particularly Dylan Thomas. It’s jut that I’ve simply seen Rodney Dangerfield’s Again to Faculty just a few dozen occasions and his recital of Don’t go light into that good evening is fracking hilarious!

That is nice information for these of us who assume as extremely of “local weather campaigners” as we do poets:

China’s coal manufacturing hit document ranges in 2021

In blow to local weather campaigners, state encourages miners to ramp up output to avert winter gasoline disaster

Jillian Ambrose
Mon 17 Jan 2022

China’s coal manufacturing reached document ranges final yr because the state inspired miners to ramp up their fossil gasoline output to safeguard the nation’s vitality provides via the winter gasoline disaster.

The world’s largest coal producer and shopper mined 384.67m tonnes of the fossil gasoline final month, simply topping its earlier document of 370.84m tonnes set in November, after the federal government referred to as for miners to work at most capability to assist gasoline the nation’s financial development.

Official authorities figures present that China’s coal binge additionally spurred the nation to document excessive coal output over the yr as a complete. Chinese language coal manufacturing climbed to an all-time excessive of 4.07bn tonnes, up 4.7% on the earlier yr, in a blow to local weather campaigners months after the UN’s Cop26 local weather talks in Glasgow.


The Grauniad

Peak Coal… Bwahaha!

The excellent news isn’t restricted to Asia

As coal use surges, America finds it’s arduous to unplug from carbon

A lot for the myriad claims about going “past coal.” In accordance with a new report from the Rhodium Group, U.S. coal consumption jumped by 17 p.c final yr in comparison with 2020 ranges. That’s an enormous improve, which Rhodium says was “largely pushed by a run-up in pure gasoline costs.” Fairly than burn gasoline, which averaged about $4.93 per million Btu final yr — greater than two occasions the worth in 2020 — many electrical energy producers selected to burn coal as a substitute.

The surge in home coal use is important for 2 causes. First, it proves once more that coal stays a necessary gasoline for electrical energy producers each right here within the U.S. and world wide. Second, it reveals that the Biden administration’s pledge to decarbonize the electrical grid by 2035 is little greater than wishful considering.

Hate coal if it makes you content, however the actuality is that energy producers have relied on it ever since Thomas Edison used it to gasoline the world’s first central energy plant in Decrease Manhattan in 1882. Certainly, the soar in home consumption is a part of a surge in international demand for coal, which nonetheless accounts for about 36 p.c of worldwide electrical energy era.


Whereas Asian nations account for the largest share of worldwide coal use — China alone makes use of greater than half the world’s coal — the Iron Regulation of Electrical energy additionally applies to Europe and Japan. In the course of the third quarter of 2021, coal’s share of Germany’s electrical energy combine elevated by 5.5 p.c over the identical interval in 2020. That improve was due, partially, to decrease manufacturing from the nation’s wind-energy sector. France, which often will get about 70 p.c of its electrical energy from nuclear crops, can be contemplating burning extra coal to switch a number of the juice that it was getting from a number of reactors which have been shut down for repairs. In the meantime, Japan is planning to construct some 21 coal-fired energy crops with a complete capability of greater than 12,000 megawatts over the subsequent decade or so.


Briefly, it’s straightforward for politicians and local weather activists to vilify hydrocarbons, hype renewables, and speak about quitting coal. However because the Rhodium Group’s report makes clear, economics matter. The U.S. and different nations aren’t going to instantly give up utilizing coal (or pure gasoline) to supply electrical energy as a result of doing so could be too costly.

I’ll finish by making the identical level I’ve been making for greater than a decade: If policymakers are severe about decarbonizing the electrical grid, they should get severe about nuclear vitality. They usually want to take action now.

Robert Bryce is the host of the “Energy Hungry Podcast,” co-producer of the documentary, “Juice: How Electrical energy Explains the World,” and the creator of six books, together with most not too long ago, “A Query of Energy: Electrical energy and the Wealth of Nations.” Comply with him on Twitter @pwrhungry.

The Hill

From the Rhodium Group report:

Coal’s comeback

The electrical energy sector, which accounts for 28% of web US emissions, noticed the second largest improve in GHG emissions from 2020 ranges. In 2021, emissions elevated 6% (95 million metric tons CO2e) above 2020 ranges (Determine 2). Regardless of the bounce again from 2020, emissions remained 4% decrease than 2019 ranges.

With solely modest development in general electrical energy demand in 2021 (up 3% from 2020), the extra sturdy development in energy sector GHG emissions was as a consequence of a pointy rise in coal era, leaping 17% in 2021. This marks the primary annual improve in coal era since 2014, in accordance with the US Vitality Info Administration (Determine 4).

Coal’s rebound was pushed largely by a run-up in pure gasoline costs, with Henry Hub spot costs averaging $4.93 per million Btu in 2021, or greater than double their 2020 fee. Costs rose as oil and gasoline producers ramped down new manufacturing in 2021 in response to the COVID oil value collapse and ensuing sluggish development in demand. Excessive pure gasoline costs made gas-fired era much less economical in 2021, resulting in a 3% decline in gasoline era in 2021, dropping gasoline’s share of general era again all the way down to 37% (Determine 5). Renewables continued their development in 2021, with era rising 4% (about half the speed of renewables development in 2020), reaching 20% of US electrical energy era for the primary time.

Preliminary US Greenhouse Gasoline Emissions Estimates for 2021

Figures 4 & 5 from the Rhodium Group report:

The EIA truly described the above as “New renewable energy crops are decreasing U.S. electrical energy era from pure gasoline“…

A fast dive into the STEO Information Browser demonstrates that, to the extent unreliable energy sources are changing something, they’re changing dependable coal-fired energy crops. The drop in pure gas-fired electrical energy era in 2021 was as a consequence of excessive gasoline costs and elevated utilization of current coal-fired energy crops.

In accordance with the EIA’s 2021 Worldwide Vitality Outlook virtually all the development in electrical energy era over the subsequent 30 years will come from unreliable vitality sources. Nonetheless, Non-OECD nations will add as a lot dependable era as OECD nations will take offline. The EIA tasks that the world will generate simply as a lot electrical energy from coal in 2050 because it did in 2010.

Previous King Coal isn’t going “light Into that good evening”… Proper Rodney?

Additionally… If I offended any poets with this put up…

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