Flawed Once more, Atlantic, Excessive Lumber Costs Are Not Being Attributable to ‘Local weather Change’ – ?

From Local weatherREALISM

By Linnea Lueken -January 19, 2022

A truck loaded with lumber leaves a sawmill in Oregon

Close to the highest of the outcomes of a Google seek for “local weather change” was a narrative in The Atlantic, titled “Lumber Costs Are off the Rails Once more. Blame Local weather  .” That is false. The proof reveals provide chain disruptions are accountable for increased lumber costs.

The article claims that current excessive lumber costs and volatility are attributable to local weather change severely impacting the lumber provide coming from Canada.

“With regards to lumber, local weather change has manifested itself in excessive volatility, lack of provide, and a paradigm shift in how lumber markets have behaved for many years. Lumber costs are the second highest they’ve ever been, right now, this second—ever. And it was precipitated by mudslides, which was precipitated by burning, which was precipitated by beetle kill. There’s an infrastructure story in there. There’s a local weather story.”

Whereas it’s true that lumber costs are at the moment abnormally excessive, as proven by this screenshot of a five-year development from the NASDAQ report on lumber (LUM), local weather change is to not blame.

Screenshot taken from NASDAQ:

The current spike in lumber costs is because of the post-pandemic provide chain and delivery bottlenecks. The already climbing costs have been exacerbated by the destruction of infrastructure like roads and rail traces in British Columbia and the North-Western United States attributable to heavy rainfall that struck the area this winter. Elements of main highways like British Columbia Freeway 1 have been closed for repairs or particles clearing after the flooding and related mud slides.

This atmospheric river occasion that carried rain to the West this winter just isn’t an unprecedented local weather occasion, however is as an alternative a climate occasion. Local weather Realism discusses the distinction between climate occasions and local weather change right here and right here, for instance.

A current Local weather Realism article confirmed the declare that the current atmospheric river occasion spanning the Pacific Northwest was brought on by local weather change was false. Within the article, Cliff Mass, Ph.D., of the College of Washington, cited rainfall information proving the current climate occasion was not signal of local weather change. Mass analyzed the rainfall information from Bellingham and Clearbrook Washington, which fits again greater than 100 years, and located no proof to help the declare that there was a rise in heavy rainfall.

“There’s NO HINT of a development in the direction of extra excessive precipitation at both of those websites.” Dr. Mass stated.

Atmospheric rivers have occurred within the area many instances all through historical past, and have been far more extreme within the many years previous to the Industrial Revolution, as described by meteorologist Anthony Watts:

“The best rainfall ever in California throughout recorded historical past doubtless occurred in January 1862, through the “Nice Flood”. This was an atmospheric river occasion like we’re experiencing now, however lasted a number of days, dumping 24.63 inches of rain in San Francisco, 66 inches in Los Angeles, leaving downtown Sacramento underwater.”

Robust climate occasions all the time have been, and all the time can be potential causes of infrastructure injury and supply-chain disruptions. The potential for localized pure disasters needs to be factored into infrastructure plans. Company media retailers like The Atlantic are incorrect guilty local weather change each time the skies open.

Linnea Lueken

Linnea Lueken is a Analysis Fellow with the Arthur B. Robinson Heart on Local weather and Environmental Coverage. Whereas she was an intern with The Heartland Institute in 2018, she co-authored a Heartland Institute Coverage Transient “Debunking 4 Persistent Myths About Hydraulic Fracturing.”

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