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Climate-Dependent Energy Technology – ?


Initially posted at edmdotme

The first coverage to fight “Local weather Change” within the West has been to put in and closely subsidise “Renewable”  Wind and Solar energy technology.  The recorded productiveness historical past of European extensive “Renewable” Energy technology since 2008 is proven beneath.

The affect of the 2021 Wind drought could be seen clearly by way of lowered 2021 productiveness.

The 2021 European Wind Drought and Climate-Dependent energy technology

For the final 10 years as “Renewable” installations have develop into established in Europe they’ve achieved on common the general productiveness percentages as proven beneath.

Word that Standard energy mills are rated at ~90%, that’s the full potential achievable when un-encumbered by the political interventions that prioritise the obligatory imposition of energy enter from Climate-Dependent “Renewables”.

It’s unlikely that any advances within the established “Renewable” applied sciences can present additional important enchancment from these present common productiveness values.

Fuel-fired energy

Essentially the most price efficient, dependable and by the way the least CO2 emitting technique of fossil gas energy technology is the usage of Pure Fuel.  Fuel-firing produces:

  • CO2 emissions 1/2 that of burning Coal or Lignite
  • CO2 emissions nearly 1/4 of the usage of imported Biomass.

Over the previous 20 years, the cost-effective use of Fracked Pure Fuel for energy technology, changing Coal within the USA, has lowered USA CO2 emissions / head by about 1/3.  Within the 1990’s the UK’s “Sprint for Fuel coverage” contributed considerably to the UK’s discount of CO2 emissions by about 40%.

International Man-made CO2 emissions 1965 – 2020: BP knowledge

Energy technology costings in contrast 

Aside from Offshore Wind energy technology, the comparative primary capital and long-term prices are roughly comparable between fossil gas and Climate-Dependent mills. Nevertheless, Fuel-firing is especially price efficient.

The comparative prices above present the prices of putting in and operating the technology applied sciences:  the image modifications radically when the productiveness achievable by the assorted applied sciences is taken into consideration.  This then exhibits the comparative prices of really delivering a Gigawatt unit of vitality to the Grid.

It’s only when their precise  productiveness contributing energy to the grid that true price comparisons of the ability equipped to the Grid could be made: these are summarised beneath.

So, when not accounting for productiveness, the US EIA comparative energy technology prices for the set up and operating of:

  • Onshore Wind energy is roughly twice the price of Fuel-firing
  • Offshore Wind energy is 5 – 7 occasions the price of Fuel-firing.
  • Photo voltaic Energy is about 1 1/2 occasions the price of Fuel-firing

However considering productiveness for a similar energy output the set up and operating of:

  • Onshore Wind energy is ~7 occasions the price of Fuel-firing
  • Offshore Wind energy is ~16-20 occasions the price of Fuel-firing.
  • Solar energy is about ~10-12 occasions the price of Fuel-firing

A 2020 mannequin of comparative costings for energy technology applied sciences

Any assertion that “Renewables” are reaching price parity with typical energy technology is patently false.

These comparative values present how the irrational political obsession with nominally decreasing CO2 emissions, (UK at 1% of International CO2 emissions), will increase the prices and reliability of energy technology for the Nation.

The appalling delusion

As Professor David Mackay FRS, (eminent Cambridge physicist and former chief scientific officer on the UK Division of Power), stated in an interview simply earlier than his premature demise in 2016, that the promotion of

“Renewable Power” was pushed by an “appalling delusion”.

The delusion has been perpetrated by individuals who don’t have any understanding of the arithmetic, engineering and practicalities of Power applied sciences.

Would anybody sane ever purchase a automotive costing between 8 – 20 occasions the conventional worth that solely works someday in 5, if you by no means know which day that could be ?  After which insist that its know-how is used to energy the entire financial system.

The comparative figures above are underestimates of the true prices of mandating Climate-Dependent “Renewables”.  These comparative outcomes solely account for the associated fee comparisons for capital and operating prices of the technology installations themselves and the precise electrical energy generated accounting for his or her measured productiveness functionality of every producing know-how.

The opposite Value implications and CO2 emissions penalties of Climate Dependent “Renewables”

The numerous ancillary prices, not accounted for within the calculations above, inevitably additionally related to Wind energy and Photo voltaic PV mills outcome from:

  • their unreliability by way of each energy intermittency and energy variability.
  • the non-dispatchability of Renewables:  the wind won’t blow, the clouds won’t clear away and the world won’t cease rotating to order, every time energy is required by Man-kind.

Climate-Dependent mills don’t run 24/7:  they don’t obtain 90% productiveness. 

  • the poor timing of energy technology by “Renewables”, it’s typically unlikely to be properly coordinated with demand:  for instance, Photo voltaic vitality, as has been seen lately in California energy falls off within the night, at occasions of peak demand, resulting in rolling blackouts.  Winter Photo voltaic output is just about absent even in Southern European international locations, ~1/seventh of the output than in the summertime, the durations of decrease energy demand.
  • the lengthy transmission traces from distant, dispersed mills, incurs each energy losses in transmission, additional infrastructure  and elevated upkeep prices.
  • requirement for the sterilisation of huge land areas, particularly when put next with typical electrical energy technology, (Fuel-firing and Nuclear).
  • a lot damaging extra engineering infrastructure is required for entry.
  • the persevering with prices of back-up technology, which is important to take care of steady energy provides, however which can solely be used on events and needs to be wastefully operating in spinning reserve and emitting some CO2 nonetheless.

It ought to at all times be famous that if there needs to be adequate back-up capability utilizing fossil fuels to help the grid every time wind and photo voltaic will not be obtainable.  Such help is dear to run constantly, then there’s little or no level in doubling up the technology capability, to be obtainable 24/7,  with comparatively non-productive and way more pricey Climate-Dependent mills, which could conceivably substitute some CO2 emissions however they definitely nonetheless emit substantial ranges of CO2 for his or her manufacture, set up and upkeep. 

Evaluating Efficiency and Prices of energy technology applied sciences: 2020

  • any consideration {of electrical} storage utilizing batteries, which might impose very important extra prices, have been long-term, (just a few days), battery storage even possible economically.  This makes any concept of long-term seasonal energy storage impractical.
  • unsynchronised technology with lack of inherent inertia important to take care of grid frequency.
  • Climate-Dependent mills can’t present a “black begin” restoration from a significant grid outage.

Importantly as well as these price analyses don’t account for:

  • the inevitable environmental harm and wildlife destruction brought on by Climate-Dependent mills.
  • the “Carbon footprint” of Climate-Dependent technology applied sciences:  they could by no means save as a lot CO2 throughout their service life as they’re prone to require for his or her supplies sourcing, manufacture, set up, upkeep and eventual demolition.
  • when seen within the spherical, all these set up actions are completely depending on the usage of substantial quantities of fossil fuels each as feedstocks for the supplies and as fuels for manufacturing.
  • the applied sciences utilized in Climate-Dependent mills are additionally extremely depending on giant quantities of scarce supplies giving rise to very in depth mining calls for.
  • the Power Return on Power Invested:  Climate-Dependent mills could properly produce solely a minimal extra of Power throughout their service life as was dedicated for his or her authentic manufacture and set up.  They definitely don’t present the common huge extra energy adequate to help the a number of wants of a developed society.  Accordingly, they’re parasitic on the usage of fossil fuels for his or her existence.

None of those imposed supplementary prices are assessed within the Value comparisons above.



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