Agent’s Take: Which 2019 NFL Draft picks will get new offers? The historical past of first-round choose extensions

The 2011 Collective Bargaining Settlement essentially modified how draft picks are paid. A rookie wage scale drastically lowering salaries for early first spherical picks was carried out. It stays in existence. 

All contracts for draft selections are 4 years in size underneath the rookie wage scale. 4 yr offers within the first spherical earlier than the rookie wage scale had been just about non-existent. Most first rounders acquired 5 yr offers, besides quarterbacks chosen early within the draft, comparable to Matthew Stafford in 2009 and Sam Bradford in 2010, who signed six yr contracts.

Groups have an possibility for a fifth yr with first spherical picks that should be exercised after the third yr of the rookie contract. The interval for exercising fifth yr choices begins after a participant’s third NFL common season ends. These choices should be picked up previous to Could 3. Choices for 19 gamers chosen within the 2019 first spherical had been picked up this yr.

The timing for when draft picks may signal contract extensions additionally modified. Draft choose contracts cannot be renegotiated till the conclusion of a participant’s third NFL common season. This implies 2019 draftees turned eligible to signal extensions after the 2021 common season ended on Jan. 9.

First-round choose contract extension timing

2022 is a not contract yr for 2019 first spherical picks if the choice for a fifth yr is exercised. Rookie contracts for first spherical picks expire after the 2023 season in these instances. Due to this, just a few first spherical picks signal extensions earlier than the beginning of or early of their fourth NFL season. 

Since 2011 first spherical picks initially turned eligible for brand new offers in 2014, simply 25 first rounders have signed extensions inside this timeframe. The 25 gamers are listed within the charts beneath. 

2011 NFL Draft

2012 NFL Draft

2013 NFL Draft

2014 NFL Draft: None

2015 NFL Draft

2016 NFL Draft

2017 NFL Draft

2018 NFL Draft

In the course of the first eight occasions first spherical picks have been eligible for extensions (2014 via 2021), a median of three.125 gamers per yr obtained new offers after three years. 2018 twelfth general choose Vita Vea is not included. The Buccaneers defensive deal with did not signal a brand new deal till a day earlier than the 2021 common season ended. 

Surprisingly, not one of the 2014 first spherical picks signed extensions in 2017 regardless of containing NFL Defensive Participant of Yr award winners, defensive deal with Aaron Donald and edge rusher Khalil Mack. Donald held out from the Rams for a lot of the preseason making an attempt to get a brand new deal earlier than returning to play underneath the fourth yr of his rookie contract.

The excessive water mark for early first spherical choose extensions was in 2020. Six 2017 first spherical picks with choices exercised did not play the fourth season underneath their rookie contracts as a result of extensions had been signed. Broncos offensive deal with Garett Bolles, whose fifth yr possibility was declined, has been excluded. His deal got here 10 video games into Denver’s 2020 common season.

Solely 14 NFL groups have performed an early first spherical choose extension since 2014. The groups that do not match the standards are the Bengals, Broncos, Buccaneers, Chargers, Colts, Commanders, Falcons, 49ers, Giants, Jaguars, Jets, Packers Patriots, Saints, Seahawks, Steelers, Titans and Vikings.

Surprisingly, the Rams prepared the ground with 4 extensions given their current philosophy of “F** Them Picks.” This quantity is not going to vary anytime quickly. The Rams have not had a primary spherical choose since Jared Goff in 2016 and haven’t got one other one till 2024.

The extensions have skewed in direction of offensive gamers by barely greater than a two to at least one margin. Solely eight of the extensions have gone to defensive gamers whereas 17 have been to these on the offensive facet of the ball. 

An rising development is to increase the contracts of quarterbacks early. General, six quarterbacks have gotten early extensions. 5 of the brand new offers for passers have been within the final three eligible draft courses (2016 via 2018 first spherical picks).

2019 first-round early extension candidates

No one from the 2019 first spherical has signed an extension up to now this offseason. Based mostly on historical past, three of those first rounders ought to get new offers earlier than the common season begins in September. The season opener for many NFL groups is on Sunday, Sept. 11. Probably the most logical candidates to get early extensions are beneath.

First Decide: Kyler Murray, QB, Cardinals


Murray has been pushing for a brand new deal virtually ever for the reason that Cardinals misplaced to the Rams within the wild card playoff spherical. Erik Burkhardt, Murray’s agent, launched a press release in all capital letters throughout February basically demanding a brand new contract. The Cardinals have not made a suggestion to Murray. Burkhardt not too long ago pulled the provide he had made to the Cardinals. 

When the offseason exercise program began in mid-April, Murray was a no present. This prompted some hypothesis that Murray may ultimately be traded. Keim stating there’s “zero probability” of a Murray being traded ought to finish the rumors. The 2-time Professional Bowler can be skipping organized group actions that began for the Cardinals this week.

Murray may very well be the beneficiary of the Cardinals not working on his timetable for a brand new contract. No one envisioned quarterback Deshaun Watson getting a totally assured five-year, $230 million contract in connection along with his commerce from the Browns to the Texans particularly contemplating the sexual assault and misconduct allegations he is nonetheless dealing with. Watson had 4 years value $136 million remaining on the 4 yr contract extension averaging $39 million per yr he signed in September 2020. Burkhardt initially pushing for a totally assured contract corresponding to Watson’s would not be a shock. 

A completely assured contract may very well be problematic due to the NFL’s archaic funding guidelines and the Cardinals aren’t thought-about a money wealthy group. Groups are required to place into an escrow account the quantity of any ensures in a contract apart from these only for harm, together with ones in future contract years. 

The Cardinals did not pay Murray’s signing bonus in a lump like 2019 second general choose Nick Bosa acquired from the 49ers. $6,839,924 of Murray’s $23,589,924 signing bonus was deferred till March 1, 2020.

Second Decide: Nick Bosa, DE, 49ers


Bosa did not present any in poor health results from the left ACL tear he suffered in San Francisco’s second recreation in the course of the 2020 season. 2019’s NFL Defensive Rookie of the Yr was fourth within the NFL with 15.5 sacks final season. 

Bosa was named a starter for the NFC within the Professional Bowl for the second time in his three NFL seasons. He additionally earned All-NFL/All-Professional honors from the Professional Soccer Writers of America and the Sporting Information.

49ers basic supervisor John Lynch referred to as Bosa a foundational piece shortly after the 49ers misplaced the NFC Championship Recreation to the Rams. Negotiations are anticipated to happen in some unspecified time in the future this offseason. The 49ers are proactive in signing core gamers to extensions. 

It is exhausting to think about a Bosa deal that does not prime the four-year, $112.011 million extension averaging $28,002,750 per yr Steelers edge rusher T.J. Watt signed as the beginning of the 2021 common season. The deal at present makes Watt the NFL’s highest paid defensive participant.

Eighth Decide: T.J. Hockenson, TE, Lions


Hockenson earned Professional Bowl honors in 2020. His 2021 season was lower quick after 12 video games due to a thumb harm that required surgical procedure. 

A Hockenson extension may very well be a chance. The Lions made 2018 first spherical choose Frank Ragnow the league’s highest paid heart final Could after his third NFL season. 

Hockenson’s deal should not be exhausting to do as a result of the tight finish market is properly outlined. Any extension will certainly be greater than the $12.5 million per yr Hunter Henry and Jonnu Smith acquired from the Patriots in 2021 free company. Hockenson’s ceiling is probably going the $14.25 million per yr the Eagles gave Dallas Goedert in the course of the center of final season. 

The Browns are very shut on a long run cope with David Njoku, who was designated as a franchise participant in March, in keeping with and The Plain Seller’s Mary Kay Cabot. The deal is predicted to be within the $13 million to $14 million per yr vary. Njoku’s deal will assist additional outline Hockenson’s market.

sixteenth Decide: Brian Burns, DE, Panthers


Panthers basic supervisor Scott Fitterer stated the group hoped to increase Burns’ contract past 2023 when his $16.012 million fifth yr possibility was picked up in late April. Burns earned his first Professional Bowl berth in 2021 after his second consecutive season with 9 sacks. Burns absolutely took observe of the four-year, $94 million extension averaging $23.5 million per yr 2019 fourth spherical choose Maxx Crosby signed with the Raiders in March.

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