What bear market? This token is quietly making new highs, up 300% in opposition to Bitcoin in 2022

Unus Sed Leo (LEO) has not solely survived the crypto market massacre within the first half of 2022 however has truly posted main features, bucking the large crypto crash.

LEO beats crypto kingpin Bitcoin

LEO, a utility token used throughout the iFinex ecosystem, completed the primary half of 2022 in opposition to Bitcoin at 32,793 satoshis, up virtually 300%.

The token additionally rallied 55% in opposition to the U.S. greenback in the identical interval, hitting $5.80 for the primary time since February 2022. In distinction, Bitcoin (BTC) and Ether (ETH), the highest two crypto property by market cap, fell by over 60% and 70%, respectively.

Prime-ranking crypto property and their performances per timeframes. Supply: Messari

That has made it the best-performing crypto asset within the prime ranks to this point into 2022.

What’s driving LEO value larger?

The crypto market wiped greater than $2 trillion off its valuation within the first half of 2022, led by charge hikes, the collapse of Terra (LUNA) — now formally Terra Traditional (LUNC), and systemic insolvency troubles throughout main cryptocurrency lending platforms and hedge funds.

LEO/BTC every day value chart. Supply: TradingView

LEO’s value additionally suffered a 25% decline after hitting its all-time excessive of $8.14 in February 2022. However, it fared higher than the remainder of the crypto market, which fell practically 60% in the identical interval.

The rationale behind this outlier token may very well be its starkly totally different attributes in comparison with different digital property.

IFinex, the dad or mum firm of Bitfinex, launched LEO in 2018 in a non-public sale spherical to lift $1 billion. In return, the agency dedicated to using 27% of its revenues from the earlier month to purchase again LEO till all tokens are faraway from circulation.

Additionally, iFinex pledged to purchase again LEO tokens utilizing funds it had misplaced throughout the August 2016 Bitfinex hack.

In February 2022, the U.S. Division of Justice recovered 94,000 BTC out of 119,754 BTC. That coincided with LEO rallying to its report highs in each Bitcoin and the dollar-based markets.

Overheated rally?

LEO’s run-up in opposition to Bitcoin dangers exhaustion on account of its value’s rising divergence with momentum.

Intimately, LEO’s value has been making larger lows whereas its every day relative power index (RSI) prints decrease highs. As a rule of technical evaluation, this divergence exhibits a scarcity of upside conviction amongst merchants.

LEO/BTC every day value chart. Supply: TradingView

The RSI can be above 70, a historically “overbought” space and a promote indicator. 

LEO now maintains its bullish bias whereas holding above its interim assist degree at 26,220 sats, coinciding with the 0.236 Fib line of the Fibonacci retracement graph drawn from 4,382-swing low to 32,965-swing excessive. 

A decisive shut beneath 26,220 sats may have LEO eye a run-down towards the 38.2 Fib line close to 22,046 sats, down 25% from Jul’s value.

Curiously, the extent is close to one other assist degree — the 50-day exponential shifting common (50-day EMA; the pink wave within the chart above).

LEO/USD bearish rejection

LEO’s ongoing value run-up had it briefly shut above a essential resistance degree at round $6.24, as proven within the chart beneath.

LEO/USD every day value chart. Supply: TradingView

The extent was instrumental in capping the token’s upside makes an attempt between February and April earlier this yr. It once more prompted merchants to safe earnings on July 1, leaving LEO with a big upside wick and thus hinting at bearish rejection.

LEO’s latest value developments are filled with bearish rejection candles, together with its 57% intraday value rally on Feb. 8 that preceded a 28.5% correction by the tip of that quarter.

Conversely, the token’s bullish rejection candle on June 18 resulted in a 50% value restoration, as mentioned above.

Associated: On the point of recession: Can Bitcoin survive its first international financial disaster?

If the given fractal performs out, then LEO will danger a value reversal to its interim assist degree of $5.52, which, coincides with the token’s 50-day exponential shifting common (50-day EMA; the pink wave). That will imply a modest 9%-10% decline from July 1’s value.

But when the assist fails to carry, because it had in late April, LEO value then dangers testing its 200-day EMA (the blue wave) close to $5, a 17% decline total.

The views and opinions expressed listed here are solely these of the creator and don’t essentially replicate the views of Each funding and buying and selling transfer includes danger, you need to conduct your individual analysis when making a call.